Bitcoin Struggles to Hold Above $40,000 After ETF Approval
Bitcoin, the most dominant cryptocurrency, has been on a downward trend since reaching a new all-time high of $69,000 in November 2023. The coin has lost about 40% of its value since then, and is currently trading around $41,000. The recent approval of a Bitcoin spot ETF by the US Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) has not boosted the price as expected, but rather triggered selling pressure.
According to a report by CoinShares, the crypto investment products saw net outflows of $21 million in the week ending January 21, 2024. Bitcoin and Ethereum accounted for the largest outflows, with $24.7 million and $13.6 million respectively. The Bitcoin Short fund, which profits from BTC’s decline, saw an inflow of $12.7 million. The report also noted that the trading volumes of crypto products increased by 35% to $5.2 billion, indicating a high level of activity and interest in the market.
The ETF approval was seen as a positive development for the crypto industry, as it would provide more exposure and legitimacy to Bitcoin. However, some analysts have argued that the ETF could also increase the volatility and manipulation of the price, as well as create more competition and fragmentation in the market. Moreover, the ETF could also reduce the demand for physical Bitcoin, as investors would prefer to buy shares of the fund instead of the actual coin.
Ethereum Faces Resistance at $2,500 Amid Bearish On-Chain Metrics
Ethereum, the second-largest cryptocurrency by market cap, is also facing challenges in breaking above the $2,500 level. The coin is currently hovering around $2,350, after failing to sustain the momentum from the recent rally that pushed it to $2,800. Ethereum is also affected by the news of outflows and ETF speculation, as well as the bearish on-chain metrics.
According to Santiment, a crypto analytics platform, Ethereum’s network growth, active addresses, and exchange inflow have all declined in the past week, indicating a lack of interest and demand for the coin. The platform also reported that the number of ETH whales, or holders with more than 10,000 coins, has dropped by 11% since November 2023, suggesting that some large investors are taking profits or diversifying their portfolios.
Ethereum is also facing competition from other smart contract platforms, such as Solana, Cardano, and Polkadot, which offer faster, cheaper, and more scalable solutions. Ethereum is still in the process of transitioning to a more efficient and secure proof-of-stake consensus mechanism, which is expected to be completed by the end of 2024. However, the delay and uncertainty of the upgrade could affect the confidence and adoption of the network.
Is It Time to Buy the Dip or Wait for More Clarity?
The crypto market is in a state of flux, as Bitcoin and Ethereum face multiple headwinds and uncertainties. The ETF approval, the Grayscale sell-off, the on-chain metrics, and the competition from other platforms are all factors that could influence the price direction and sentiment of the market. However, some analysts and investors remain optimistic and bullish on the long-term prospects of the crypto industry.
Henrik Zeberg, a top trader and analyst, shared a new Bitcoin price prediction of $120,000, based on the Elliott Wave Theory and the Fibonacci retracement levels. He argued that Bitcoin is in a corrective wave 4, which could bottom out around $36,000, before resuming the uptrend to wave 5, which could reach $120,000. He also said that Ethereum could follow a similar pattern, and reach $8,000 in the next wave.
CoinDCX Research Team, a crypto research and analysis firm, also expressed a positive outlook on the crypto market, despite the recent volatility and correction. They said that the ETF approval is a milestone for the crypto industry, and that it could pave the way for more institutional adoption and innovation. They also said that the crypto market is still in its early stages, and that there is a lot of room for growth and development.
Therefore, the crypto market could offer a good opportunity for investors who are looking for long-term returns and exposure to the emerging digital economy. However, the market is also highly risky and unpredictable, and investors should be prepared for the volatility and fluctuations that come with it. As always, investors should do their own research, and only invest what they can afford to lose.