How the Martial Law Declaration Triggered a Bitcoin Sell-Off and Market Instability
When South Korea’s President Yoon Seok-yul declared martial law last week, it sent shockwaves through the country’s crypto markets, causing mass panic and a rapid sell-off of Bitcoin and other digital assets. The announcement left investors scrambling to unload their holdings, fearing the worst. But what sparked this chaos? According to experts, it was a combination of structural issues in the market and the rapid spread of uncertainty among traders.
Kim Oe-hyeon, a crypto journalist and expert, detailed the reasons behind the mayhem in an opinion piece for Hankyoreh. He highlighted several key factors that led to the crypto market’s turmoil, all of which worked together to ignite the panic.
A Surge in Trading Activity and the Aftermath of Martial Law
On December 3, just after President Yoon’s martial law announcement, trading volumes on major South Korean crypto exchanges like Upbit and Bithumb surged dramatically. This was no ordinary trading spike. A massive sell-off ensued as investors feared that martial law could lead to government-imposed restrictions on crypto exchanges or even asset freezes. Bitcoin prices plummeted by up to 30%, a sharp drop from $96,000 per BTC on overseas platforms.
As the sell-off continued into the early hours of December 4, the market took an unexpected turn. In a sudden twist, Yoon’s martial law decree was blocked by the National Assembly, and by December 8, it became clear that the president’s political troubles, including attempts to impeach him, were failing to impact market sentiment. This shift marked a dramatic reversal in trading volumes. By then, they had shrunk back to the lowest levels in nearly a month.
The Snowball Effect of Panic
One South Korean investor, Hong (whose first name is withheld), spoke to Cryptonews.com about how panic spread among traders during the market plunge. He explained that while he initially slept through the drama, his friends and colleagues quickly joined the mass sell-off.
“I checked my [crypto chat app] groups when I woke up, and I saw people talking about selling. Once a few people said they were getting out, others jumped on the bandwagon. It was a snowball effect,” Hong said.
Kim Oe-hyeon pointed out that the South Korean market is dominated by individual investors, unlike more institutionalized markets in the United States. This makes the local crypto market particularly vulnerable to news and sentiment-driven movements. Kim also noted that the rush to sell was amplified by the country’s “structural characteristics,” where news, rumors, and emotional reactions can quickly destabilize the market.
The Role of Exchange Failures and Tech Issues
Another factor that intensified the sell-off was technical difficulties on major crypto exchanges, such as Upbit and Bithumb. According to Kim, many traders complained of connection problems and site outages, especially during the peak of the panic. This only increased investor anxiety.
He described this as a “vicious cycle,” noting that such technical failures often happen during market crashes, and that the exchanges’ inability to handle the influx of orders exacerbated the situation. “Whenever exchanges go down or malfunction, it leads to even more panic,” he added.
A Lack of Trust in the System
In addition to the fear of asset freezes or regulation, there was a growing sense of distrust in the technical reliability of crypto platforms. South Korean exchanges were already under scrutiny for occasional outages during times of high volatility. This further fueled the negative sentiment in the market, as traders began questioning whether their investments were safe.
Investors took to online forums to vent their frustrations. One user posted about trying to buy into the dip but being unable to complete the transaction due to Bithumb’s site going down during the price drop. “I tried to buy, but I couldn’t buy more. The site was down,” the post read.
Bitcoin’s 30% Plunge and the Ripple Effect
The immediate fallout was dramatic: Bitcoin prices dropped by as much as 30% on major exchanges. The sell-off was not limited to Bitcoin; many altcoins also saw their prices plummet. This crash reverberated across South Korea’s crypto community, affecting everything from smaller tokens to the largest digital assets.
Kim Oe-hyeon observed that the quick and steep drop in Bitcoin’s value was a direct result of the sudden uncertainty introduced by martial law. The crypto market, he explained, was already volatile, and the announcement of martial law only amplified the existing instability.
The fact that South Korean exchanges are heavily reliant on individual investors, many of whom may not have the experience or resources to weather a major political crisis, made the situation worse. Panic selling became almost inevitable as traders scrambled to protect their assets from potential government intervention.
A Market Stabilizing After the Storm
By December 4, as the news about Yoon’s martial law decree being blocked by the National Assembly spread, the sell-off began to slow. But even as market volumes started to shrink, there was still no sign of a complete recovery. As of December 8, South Korean media outlets reported that the market had remained relatively stable despite the political chaos surrounding the president.
The failed impeachment motion also failed to trigger any significant market movements. This suggests that while the initial panic was dramatic, South Korean crypto investors may have begun to calm down, awaiting further developments before making any major moves.
While the market is not yet fully recovered, many are hopeful that stability will return. However, the uncertainty introduced by political upheaval and the chaotic market reaction will likely remain fresh in investors’ minds.