Bitcoin, the leading cryptocurrency, has seen a significant increase in its price, reaching $43,500 on Tuesday. This is a 2.75% rise from the previous day, and the highest level since November 2023. The main factors behind this surge are the growing interest and investment in Bitcoin exchange-traded funds (ETFs) and the impressive performance of Fidelity’s Bitcoin ETF.
Bitcoin ETFs Attract More Investors
Bitcoin ETFs are investment products that track the price of Bitcoin and allow investors to trade fund shares on traditional stock exchanges. They offer a convenient and regulated way to gain exposure to the cryptocurrency market without having to buy or store Bitcoin directly.
In the US, the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) has approved 11 spot Bitcoin ETFs since October 2023, making it the largest market for Bitcoin ETFs in the world. Spot Bitcoin ETFs are based on the actual price of Bitcoin, unlike futures-based ETFs that are derived from Bitcoin futures contracts.
According to Bloomberg, the total assets under management (AUM) of the US spot Bitcoin ETFs have reached $6.8 billion as of January 28, 2024. The largest and most popular spot Bitcoin ETF is the ProShares Bitcoin Strategy ETF (BITO), which has an AUM of $3.9 billion and a daily trading volume of $1.1 billion.
Some of the Bitcoin ETF providers have reduced their fees to attract more investors and compete with other funds. For example, Invesco and Galaxy Asset Management have lowered the fee of their Invesco Galaxy Bitcoin ETF (BTCO) from 0.39% to 0.25%, making it one of the cheapest Bitcoin ETFs in the market. Invesco has also promised to waive costs for the first six months or until the ETF’s holdings exceed $5 billion.
Fidelity’s Bitcoin ETF Outperforms Grayscale
Another factor that has boosted the Bitcoin price is the strong performance of Fidelity’s Bitcoin ETF, which has reported substantial gains of $208 million in the past week. Fidelity’s Bitcoin ETF, which is traded on the Toronto Stock Exchange under the ticker FBTC, is the first Bitcoin ETF launched by a major asset manager. It has an AUM of $1.1 billion and a fee of 0.35%.
Fidelity’s Bitcoin ETF has effectively offset the impact of withdrawals from Grayscale, the largest digital asset manager in the world. Grayscale offers several cryptocurrency trusts, including the Grayscale Bitcoin Trust (GBTC), which is the largest and oldest Bitcoin investment product in the market. However, GBTC trades at a significant discount to its net asset value (NAV), meaning that investors can buy GBTC shares for less than the value of the underlying Bitcoin. This has led to some investors selling their GBTC shares and switching to Bitcoin ETFs, which trade at or near their NAV.
According to CoinDesk, GBTC has seen net outflows of $1.4 billion in the past week, while FBTC has seen net inflows of $208 million. This shows that Fidelity’s Bitcoin ETF has gained a competitive edge over Grayscale’s Bitcoin Trust, and has increased the demand for Bitcoin in the market.
Bitcoin Price Prediction and Outlook
The Bitcoin price prediction for the near future is positive, as the cryptocurrency market is supported by the growing institutional interest and investment in Bitcoin ETFs and other products. The Bitcoin ETFs offer a convenient and regulated way for investors to access the cryptocurrency market, and have increased the liquidity and efficiency of the Bitcoin price discovery.
The Bitcoin price is expected to break above the $43,800 resistance level, which is the 50-day moving average, and test the $44,700 level, which is the 200-day moving average. If the Bitcoin price can sustain above these levels, it could signal a return of the bullish momentum and a potential rally towards the $50,000 level.
However, the Bitcoin price also faces some risks and challenges, such as the regulatory uncertainty, the environmental concerns, the competition from other cryptocurrencies, and the volatility of the market. Therefore, investors should be cautious and diversify their portfolio, and not invest more than they can afford to lose.