Avalanche’s native token AVAX just smashed through the $30 barrier, climbing 7% in a single day amid news of a major ETF filing. This surge comes as Bitwise steps into the ring with plans for an Avalanche ETF, fueling talks of a rally to $50. But can this momentum hold in a steady crypto market? Let’s dive into the details driving this excitement.
Bitwise ETF Filing Ignites Market Hopes
Bitwise Asset Management filed an S-1 form with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission on September 15, 2025, aiming to launch the first spot ETF tied directly to AVAX. This move joins efforts from VanEck and Grayscale, who filed earlier this year, signaling growing institutional interest in Avalanche’s fast blockchain.
The filing promises easier access for everyday investors, letting them buy AVAX exposure through regular brokerage accounts without dealing with crypto wallets. Coinbase will handle custody, adding a layer of trust. If approved, this could flood the market with fresh capital, much like Bitcoin and Ethereum ETFs did before.
Analysts say the SEC might greenlight these by early 2026, but delays are possible amid regulatory scrutiny.
The timing couldn’t be better, with AVAX jumping 7% right after the news broke.
AVAX Breaks Key Resistance with Strong Gains
AVAX hit $30.34 on September 16, 2025, marking a 17.5% rise over the past week. This makes it a standout performer while the broader crypto market stays flat.
Trading volumes spiked 10% to over $1.25 billion daily, showing buyers are piling in with confidence. Futures open interest also grew 10% to $1.45 billion, a clear sign of rising bets on further upside.
This push past $30 resistance feels like a turning point. Last month, AVAX hovered below $27, but recent upgrades and ecosystem growth changed the game.
Investors are watching closely. A sustained hold above $30 could open doors to higher targets.
On-Chain Data Points to Growing Strength
Avalanche’s total value locked (TVL) reached $2.09 billion this week, up from recent dips, thanks to booming decentralized apps.
Decentralized exchange (DEX) volumes have topped $2 billion for eight straight weeks, proving real user activity beyond hype.
Here’s a quick look at key metrics fueling the rally:
- TVL: $2.09 billion, reflecting locked assets in protocols.
- DEX Volume: Over $2 billion weekly, steady for two months.
- Transaction Count: Hit 35.8 million on the C-Chain in August, a record.
These numbers come from on-chain trackers like DefiLlama, analyzed in September 2025 reports.
Such growth shows Avalanche’s edge in speed and low fees, drawing developers and users alike.
It all ties back to why institutions like Bitwise see potential here.
Analysts Forecast Rally to $50 and Beyond
Experts are bullish, with some predicting AVAX could reach $45 to $50 by year-end if ETF approvals come through. Standard Chartered’s earlier 2025 forecast pegged $55 as a base target, citing scalability via subnets.
A September 2025 CoinJournal analysis notes that a Federal Reserve rate cut this week might boost risk assets like AVAX, injecting liquidity.
But risks remain. Market volatility could pull it back to $23 if support fails.
Still, with RWA volumes up 58% and institutional talks of a $1 billion treasury raise, the upside looks strong.
One analyst summed it up: momentum from ETFs could mirror Solana’s past pumps.
In the end, AVAX’s recent surge amid the Bitwise ETF filing captures the thrill of crypto’s evolving landscape, blending tech innovation with Wall Street appeal. It’s a reminder of how blockchain can reshape finance, offering speed and efficiency that traditional systems envy. This could mean bigger opportunities for investors, but also more volatility in your portfolio.